The NFL and fantasy football landscape change every year, and QB standing is a perfect instance of the movement of fantasy points. In the Surprising Stats episode, hosts Andy, Mike and Jason revealed some really eye-opening stats that assist give the QB panorama.
For instance, in 2017, there have been solely 17 QB exhibits with 30 or more fantasies. factors. The league met that determine during the first four weeks of 2018, after which almost double the quantity of 30+ QB fantasy exhibits. In 2017, there have been six QBs who accomplished no less than 65% of their passport, but last yr we noticed twenty. We additionally saw almost 100 passing touches in 2018 than in the earlier yr.
Just because a QB location has detected a peak in fantasy production, does not mean that you simply nonetheless can't find worth in the position in subsequent rounds. In the Top 10 QB Rating Section, Andy, Mike and Jason break down their consensus rankings for 2019 and assess the place they’re going to be drafted.
See also My Guys + Gamers Forgiveness for Ballers Matches
ADP and predictions based mostly on 12-team leagues, half-PPRs and 6-point touchups. See four factors for every touchpoint in the 2019 Final Draft Package and Customize your league with custom scoring.
1. Patrick Mahomes – Kansas City Chiefs – ADP 3.07
Consistency Class # 1 – Season Ending QB1
Andy – 1, Mike – 1, Jason – 1
It shouldn't be shocking that Andy, Mike, and Jason all is Mahomes in their QB1. He repeatedly scored over 20 factors aside from three weeks. 63% of his video games have been "great" and 94% "good" and he by no means fell.
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The good knock towards Mahomes is that he is to retreat. Nevertheless, he made 383 transfers to 580 corporations for 5097 yards and FIVE touches. If she's down 20 %, you're taking a look at 464 corporations. Assuming the similar completion price is 66%, he should have about 306 cross rates and 40 touches. So still really, really good.
2. Aaron Rodgers – Inexperienced Bay Packers – ADP 6.01
Consistency Class # 11 – Season Ending QB6
Andy – 2, Mike – 2, Jason – 3
Since 2009, Rodgers has ranked amongst the prime eight. and ranked in the prime 5 seven occasions. He completed QB6 last yr with 597 attempts, 372 yards on 4442 yards and a career-low touch of 25. He additionally rushed 43 occasions for 269 yards and two touchdowns.
Mike McCarthy is gone, so passing the recreation ought to open up a backup for Rodgers, giving him an opportunity for a return yr. Investing in Rodgers this yr goes to take a position where he comes from, not what he has been in current years, nor the progress of his surrounding talent.
three. DeShaun Watson – Houston Texans – ADP 5.05
Consistency Class # 3 – Season Ending QB4
Andy – three, Mike – three, Jason – 2
There isn’t any doubt that Watson is an elite defender. With QB4, he had 345 runs in 505 attempts for 4,165 yards and 26 touchdowns. In fact, his capability to provide Watson such a double menace by including 99 dashing makes an attempt at 551 yards and five dashing touchdowns (most of the prime 10 QBs) was solely four video games while the remaining 69% have been good and 31% thought-about excessive.
Watson was additionally a lethal menace in the purple zone, touching every three.8 cross makes an attempt in the purple zone that ranked 2nd in the league just behind Baker Mayfield. In addition, he had 19 touches and 0 cuts in the pink zone.
By way of these unbelievable numbers, there are questions on TD regression in the 20th century. Nevertheless, the largest drawback Watson faces in 2019 is the Swiss cheese offensive line, which The Huddle locations in the 31st worst group in the league.
four. Carson Wentz – Philadelphia Eagles – ADP eight.01
Consistency Order # 7 – Season End QB23
Andy – 5, Mike – 11, Jason – 4,074 yards and 21 touchdowns. Injury restrictions forestall him from leaving his pocket protected, and he rushed only 34 occasions for 93 yards.
Wentz is ready for an explosive yr this yr together with his wholesome back and uncompromising knees. The addition of DeSean Jackson provides to the lack of a downfield menace final yr to create area for Zach Ertz and rising Dallas Goedert. Although Wentz didn't finish the yr with some nice games, 73% have been good and 27% have been beneath 15 factors. He was swinging in 2018 with over 4,400 yards and 30.5 touchdowns.
Wentz, who stays with the large weapons at his disposal on the area, matches one fantasy level in 2019. And in response to Andy, who can see the future, the Eagles will win the Tremendous Bowl this yr.
5. Andrew Luck – Indianapolis Colts – ADP 6.05
Consistency Class # 4 – Season Ending QB5
Andy – 6, Mike 9, Jason – 6
We lastly saw happiness on the subject as we sat down all through the 2017 season. He returned to type with 420 reps with 639 makes an attempt at almost four,600 yards and 39 grounding. 6% of his video games have been great, 25% collapsed, however 75% good in 2018. Happiness was third in passing makes an attempt at 100 in the purple zone and completed 30 makes an attempt within 10 yards.
Luck offers with protracted calf damage and does not interact in widespread practices with Browns. There isn’t a doubt that Luck is a bonafide top-5 QB when he is on the area and healthy. Nevertheless, fantasy house owners must proceed to watch his calf damage as the precedent progresses.
6. Matt Ryan – Atlanta Falcons – ADP 7.06. He even rushed in three touches and 33 dashing makes an attempt at 125 yards.
Andy and Mike are ranked No. 4 in Ryan, Jason is worried about Ryan's contact numbers this yr, regardless that he has predicted the QB to be properly over 4,000 yards. With a mean of 16 video games over the last 4 years, Ryan has solely 28 touchdowns, which puts him outdoors the prime 12. Nevertheless, with Calvin Ridley, their elite WR in Julio Jones and Austin Hooper in maturity, the probability of dropping 30 touches exists in 2019.
7. Jared Goff – Los Angeles Rams – ADP 9.09
Consistency Class # 13 – Season Ending QB7
Andy – 8, Mike – 7, Jason – eight
Sean McVay's influence has been affecting the league from the begin. with their own offense and spreading like it got here via the NFL. All the Rams offense was a fantasy splash in this new offense, and Goff proved to be a very sports automotive that former head coach Jeff Fisher stored locked in the storage.
2018 noticed Goff's profession highs with 364 runs. 561 attempts at four,688 yards and 32 touches, plus 43 dashing attempts at 108 yards and a couple of touches. Career peaks continued at 64.9% of move fee, QBR at 65.4 and 293 yards per recreation (40 more yards per recreation than final yr).
There’s some uncertainty surrounding Todd Gurley's knee in the 2019 season. or not, like Darrell Henderson and Malcolm Brown, like operating backrests, you must place or be capable of step into the position.
Goff graduated to QB12 in 2017, then final yr to QB7. If the offense can continue to be explosive in both the operating and passing games, Goff should make it to the prime 10 once more in late 2019.
8. Baker Mayfield – Cleveland Browns – ADP 6.12
Consistency Class # 19 – Season End QB16
Andy – 9, Mike – 5, Jason – First Half of Season 9. After Jackson was sacked, things rotated for QB and the complete offense. He completed QB16 with 14% of his video games, 50% good and 50% breast. Keep in mind, four out of seven in the slots have been underneath Jackson.
The new HC Freddie Kitchens and the new OC Todd Monken ultimately get this violation and take the coaching wheels from Mayfield. Including Odell Beckham Jr. provides QB just one other very gifted weapon in the supporting forged with Jarvis Landry, David Njoku and Nick Chubb to name a couple of. In 2019, Mayfield ought to proceed to thrive in Kitchens' fast-paced air disruption-style crime that Mayfield used at the university.
9. Cam Newton – Carolina Panthers – ADP 8.12
Consistency Class # 6 – Season Finishing QB12
Andy – 14, Mike – 6, Jason – 5
Booty Scootin 'Cam Newton suffered a shoulder damage that prevented him from being The QB we know and love in fantasy. Though injured, he still had 4 great video games, 5 good video games and just three slots in 14 games final yr. He threw 320 passes for 471 photographs after three,395 yards and 13 touchdowns, accelerating 101 occasions for 488 yards and 4 touches.
Since 2011, Newton has ranked amongst the prime four five occasions. 2014 and 2016 have been QB 17 objectives and last yr he ended up QB12 with injuries and lacking two games. He’s an unimaginable value in fantasy drafts as an elite producing QB in the direction of the end of the 8th spherical.
10. Drew Brees – New Orleans Saints – ADP 8.04
Consistency Class # 14 – Season Finishing QB8
Andy – 10, Mike – eight, Jason – 10
The Saints' id has been changed by excessive flying Brees bombing downfield by Alvin Kamara to an explosive operating recreation last yr. As this transfer continues, Brees ranked among the prime 10, however drops the listing steadily. The Saints have also begun to make use of Tasem Hill as a Swiss Army Knife QB in the Purple Zone.
There's little question that Brees continues to be an enormous QB. Final yr, he made 364 transfers to 489 corporations for 3,392 yards and 32 touchdowns. He also threw only five interceptions as he grabbed 22 yards and 4 touchdowns on 31 dashing attempts. Nevertheless, in order to be larger on the record, Brees should have a stronger busy efficiency, which is unlikely to happen to Kamara and Hill.
See the Top-10 QB Rankings episode and see who Andy, Mike and Jason consider it has the biggest breast potential this season.
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